The ARM Index
As of 2026-08-24, the 30-day average SOFR — the index most new adjustable-rate mortgages adjust on — is 3.645%. An ARM's rate after its fixed period is that index plus the loan's fixed margin, rounded to the nearest eighth, subject to its caps — for example, an illustrative Ralo 5/6 ARM carries a 2.75% margin, so adjusting today would mean 6.375% before caps. The numbers below — index, margins, caps, fully-indexed rates, and official APOR benchmarks per ARM family — are the ones that actually decide what an ARM costs after the teaser years, and they are rarely published side by side.
How an ARM adjustment is computed
After the fixed period, the rate resets every adjustment period (six months on modern 5/6, 7/6, and 10/6 ARMs) to index + margin, rounded to the nearest eighth of a percent. The index floats with the market — for new agency loans it is the 30-day average SOFR published by the New York Fed. The margin is fixed in your note the day you close and never changes. Caps then bound each move: a first-adjustment cap, a per-adjustment cap, and a lifetime cap over the start rate. Every number you need to compute your own worst case is in your note; the current index is below.
National ARM pricing by family (survey of 2026-08-20)
| ARM family | Avg rate | Points & fees | Fully-indexed rate | APOR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-year fixed period | 5.815% | 0.14% | 6.525% | — |
| 5-year fixed period | 5.873% | 0.49% | 6.506% | 6.3% |
| 7-year fixed period | 5.71% | 0.54% | 6.518% | 6.16% |
| 10-year fixed period | 6.056% | 0.65% | 6.502% | 6.27% |
Sources: FFIEC/CFPB rate-spread survey table (rates, points & fees, fully-indexed rates) and Average Prime Offer Rates; 30-day average SOFR from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2026-08-24).
A real ARM, opened up
An illustrative Ralo 5/6 ARM (CA, priced August 25, 2026): start rate 5.375%, margin 2.75%, caps 2%/1%/5%, fully-indexed rate 6.375%, composite APR 6.002% (modeled per Regulation Z using the current SOFR index). The lifetime worst case is start rate + lifetime cap: 10.375% — run your budget against that number, not the teaser.
Deciding between an ARM and a fixed loan? The honest comparison is the fixed-period savings against the capped worst case — fixed vs ARM, compared, and what to do when you already hold a low rate. Machine-readable: arm-index.csv. Rates are illustrative examples, not a loan approval, rate lock, or commitment. Actual rates depend on credit score, LTV, occupancy, lock period, and loan amount. Ralo is an automated mortgage broker — not a lender — available where licensed: California, Colorado, and Texas.